Mountain Echoes No 104 first published in March 2004
In my last number I mentioned the Pentagon report on climate change that had possibly been first suppressed and then ignored by the mainstream media. In fact it was suppressed for four months by the white house before being publicised in the Observer and later the Guardian. The report, obviously a worst-case scenario, contained some dire, and immediate, warnings such as by “2007 violent storms smash coastal barriers rendering large parts of the Netherlands uninhabitable” and China’s “huge population and food demand make it particularly vulnerable. Bangladesh becomes nearly uninhabitable because of rising sea level, which contaminates the inland water supplies.”
Further “riots and internal conflict (will) tear apart India, South Africa and Indonesia” as access “to water becomes a major battleground” and “mega-droughts affect the world’s major breadbaskets including America’s mid-west.” I communicated about this briefly with an acquaintance of considerable scientific knowledge on climate change and he replied that although the Pentagon report was a “worst case scenario” it gave some balance to those at the other end of the spectrum (mostly sponsored or financed by guess who?) who deny any man made changes to climate whatsoever.
A glance at the media will tell us that much of this is already happening, (as a result of overpopulation rather than climate change) in particular wars over scarce and fixed or declining resources (land, oil) in the Middle East. Anecdotal evidence suggests the climatic prediction about droughts may be already upon us for, in my own country, with admittedly varied weather patterns, we have had drought for almost 25 years interrupted by the occasional good year and twice by floods. Each decade appears dryer than the last. We are now in short sharp drought and in the first 3 months of the year have had virtually no rain. This is reminiscent both of the period before ‘ash wednesday’ and more recently the 1998 drought. (to be continued)
*this piece a bit dated and pessimistic but unedited. Fortunately the Pentagon worst-case scenario did not eventuate.